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2025 Korea Presidential Elections: Exit Poll Analysis & Policy Forecast

by njoblover 2025. 6. 3.
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The 21st presidential election in South Korea has drawn massive public interest, with a historically high voter turnout. As the exit poll results are announced, people are closely watching which candidate is likely to win and how their policies will shape the future of Korea.


✅ Live Voting Turnout & Exit Poll Highlights

  • Live Turnout: As of 7:00 PM on June 3, 2025, the national voter turnout has reached 77.8%, surpassing previous records.
  • Exit Poll Results: Major broadcasting networks reported a close race among the top candidates at 8:00 PM. The final result is expected around midnight.

🔍 Predicted Policy Scenarios by Candidate

1. If Lee Jae-myung Wins

Economy

  • Introduce universal basic income
  • Expand public-sector job creation
  • Regulate large corporations while supporting SMEs

Housing

  • Supply large volumes of public housing
  • Strengthen rent caps and tenant protection laws

Foreign Policy & Security

  • Reopen peace dialogues with North Korea
  • Emphasize multilateral diplomacy

Social Policy

  • Reduce working hours
  • Boost eco-friendly policies and welfare


2. If Kim Moon-soo Wins

Economy

  • Promote free-market economy
  • Deregulation and tax cuts
  • Potential restructuring of public institutions

Housing

  • Ease real estate regulations
  • Lower capital gains tax, end multiple-homeowner penalties

Foreign Policy & Security

  • Reinforce U.S.-Korea alliance
  • Strong military stance toward North Korea

Social Policy

  • Push for privatization and service competition
  • Broaden citizen choice in healthcare and education


3. If Lee Jun-seok Wins

Economy

  • Accelerate digital transformation
  • Strong support for startups and young entrepreneurs

Housing

  • Expand housing support for newlyweds and youth
  • Balanced approach to tax reduction and deregulation

Foreign Policy & Security

  • Pursue pragmatic middle-power diplomacy
  • Invest in defense tech and self-reliant security

Social Policy

  • Prioritize youth-focused reforms
  • Push for pension and education reform


📊 Presidential Candidate Policy Comparison

Economic Policy

CandidateFocusDetails
Lee Jae-myung Welfare-driven Basic income, regional currency, public jobs
Kim Moon-soo Market-driven Deregulation, tax cuts, lean government
Lee Jun-seok Innovation-driven Startups, AI development, youth employment
 

Housing Policy

CandidateFocusDetails
Lee Jae-myung Public housing 1M rental units, rent caps
Kim Moon-soo Deregulation Reduced taxes, loosened ownership rules
Lee Jun-seok Practical Youth-focused housing supply, loan support
 

Welfare Policy

CandidateApproachDetails
Lee Jae-myung Universal Free medical care, education
Kim Moon-soo Targeted Support for vulnerable groups
Lee Jun-seok Generational Pension reform, childcare support
 

Foreign & Security Policy

CandidateStrategyHighlights
Lee Jae-myung Balanced diplomacy Peace talks, multilateralism
Kim Moon-soo Conservative U.S. alliance, military buildup
Lee Jun-seok Practical Global engagement, defense tech focus
 

Youth Policy

CandidateEmphasisExamples
Lee Jae-myung Jobs & Income Youth allowance, housing priority
Kim Moon-soo Freedom & Growth Startup incentives, student loans
Lee Jun-seok Tech & Reform Coding education, gig economy protection
 

✍️ Final Thoughts: Who Will Shape Korea's Future?

Each candidate proposes a distinct roadmap for Korea:

  • For stronger welfare and public support: Lee Jae-myung
  • For market liberalization and economic expansion: Kim Moon-soo
  • For innovation and future-focused reform: Lee Jun-seok

🧭 Conclusion: Korea at a Crossroads

The 2025 Korea Presidential Elections are more than a leadership change—they signify a national pivot. Exit polls indicate a tight race, and the elected leader will undoubtedly impact the nation's path for years to come.


This version is ideal for international readers, policy watchers, and journalists seeking an English summary of South Korea’s 2025 presidential race.

 

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